Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月10日莫斯科最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,332 交易量
$32,332 交易量
2026-09-10
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,332 交易量
$32,332 交易量
2026-09-10
18°C或以下
$603 交易量
否
19°C
$607 交易量
否
20°C
$324 交易量
否
21°C
$554 交易量
否
22°C
$702 交易量
否
23°C
$3,021 交易量
否
24°C
$7,569 交易量
否
25°C
$7,187 交易量
是
26°C
$7,168 交易量
否
27°C
$3,707 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$892 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$32,332結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,332結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical models positioned Moscow's September 10 daytime high near 25°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild air masses under light cloud cover and stable pressure near 745–746 mmHg. Real-time observations aligned with this range, producing narrow ensemble spreads around seasonal norms without strong warm advection or clear-sky heating that would push readings higher. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C capturing essentially all probability as the day progressed toward resolution at the official Vnukovo station. Only a late revision in the precise peak timing, local microclimate effects at the measurement site, or an unforecast boundary-layer shift could realistically alter the recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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