Recent cold air advection from the north has moderated daytime heating over Wuhan, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services pointing to a high of 26–27°C on September 10 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds of 3–4 levels. Lower humidity and clear conditions overnight have supported a sharp diurnal range, while model consensus keeps the peak below the seasonal average for early September. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, with traders weighting the most recent CMA guidance and ensemble spreads. Updated short-range model runs and local observations ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日武漢氣溫最高?
26°C 34%
25°C 23%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
$10,829 交易量
$10,829 交易量
23°C或以下
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
23%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 23%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
$10,829 交易量
$10,829 交易量
23°C或以下
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
23%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cold air advection from the north has moderated daytime heating over Wuhan, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services pointing to a high of 26–27°C on September 10 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds of 3–4 levels. Lower humidity and clear conditions overnight have supported a sharp diurnal range, while model consensus keeps the peak below the seasonal average for early September. Minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, with traders weighting the most recent CMA guidance and ensemble spreads. Updated short-range model runs and local observations ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions