Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日武漢最低氣溫？
9月10日武漢最低氣溫？
19°C 99%
17°C 4%
16°C或以下 2%
18°C 1.0%
$1,224 交易量
$1,224 交易量
2026-09-10
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
19°C 99%
17°C 4%
16°C或以下 2%
18°C 1.0%
$1,224 交易量
$1,224 交易量
2026-09-10
16°C或以下
$35 交易量
否
17°C
$72 交易量
否
18°C
$26 交易量
否
19°C
$230 交易量
是
20°C
$212 交易量
否
21°C
$308 交易量
否
22°C
$55 交易量
否
23°C
$35 交易量
否
24°C
$60 交易量
否
25°C
$106 交易量
否
26°C或以上
$85 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,224結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,224結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions