**Current forecasts from multiple models place Jeddah’s September 14 maximum near 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes.** Late-summer conditions feature strong solar insolation, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit substantial daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures near 31°C limit overnight cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs reaching 39°C under clearer skies or reduced marine influence and others capping at 37°C if afternoon cloud build-up or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Historical September averages hover around 37–38°C, so the implied probabilities reflect traders weighting near-term model consensus and typical diurnal ranges against the chance of modest intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at Jeddah’s primary meteorological station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月14日的最高溫度？
吉達9月14日的最高溫度？
38°C 43%
39°C或更高 36%
37°C 19%
36°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
6%
37°C
19%
38°C
43%
39°C或更高
36%
38°C 43%
39°C或更高 36%
37°C 19%
36°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
29°C或以下
$291 交易量
<1%
30°C
$177 交易量
<1%
31°C
$193 交易量
<1%
32°C
$129 交易量
<1%
33°C
$129 交易量
<1%
34°C
$215 交易量
<1%
35°C
$139 交易量
2%
36°C
$369 交易量
6%
37°C
$798 交易量
19%
38°C
$1,645 交易量
43%
39°C或更高
$3,304 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models place Jeddah’s September 14 maximum near 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes.** Late-summer conditions feature strong solar insolation, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit substantial daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures near 31°C limit overnight cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs reaching 39°C under clearer skies or reduced marine influence and others capping at 37°C if afternoon cloud build-up or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Historical September averages hover around 37–38°C, so the implied probabilities reflect traders weighting near-term model consensus and typical diurnal ranges against the chance of modest intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at Jeddah’s primary meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$7,390結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models place Jeddah’s September 14 maximum near 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes.** Late-summer conditions feature strong solar insolation, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit substantial daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures near 31°C limit overnight cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs reaching 39°C under clearer skies or reduced marine influence and others capping at 37°C if afternoon cloud build-up or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Historical September averages hover around 37–38°C, so the implied probabilities reflect traders weighting near-term model consensus and typical diurnal ranges against the chance of modest intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at Jeddah’s primary meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,390結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple models place Jeddah’s September 14 maximum near 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes.** Late-summer conditions feature strong solar insolation, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit substantial daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures near 31°C limit overnight cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs reaching 39°C under clearer skies or reduced marine influence and others capping at 37°C if afternoon cloud build-up or a slightly stronger sea breeze develops. Historical September averages hover around 37–38°C, so the implied probabilities reflect traders weighting near-term model consensus and typical diurnal ranges against the chance of modest intensification. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at Jeddah’s primary meteorological station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions