Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a September 14 high near 20°C in Warsaw amid stable early-autumn conditions with light southwesterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating. Current observations show today’s peak around 19–20°C under similar overcast skies, consistent with historical mid-September averages of 16–19°C and supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 19–21°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and weak pressure gradients reduce the likelihood of significant deviations, though minor model spreads in cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the exact maximum. Official measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日華沙的最高溫度？
9月14日華沙的最高溫度？
20°C 47%
19°C 28%
21°C 23%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
28%
20°C
47%
21°C
23%
22°C
3%
23°C或更高
<1%
20°C 47%
19°C 28%
21°C 23%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
13°C或以下
$237 交易量
<1%
14°C
$142 交易量
<1%
15°C
$348 交易量
<1%
16°C
$97 交易量
1%
17°C
$153 交易量
2%
18°C
$156 交易量
4%
19°C
$1,989 交易量
28%
20°C
$1,984 交易量
47%
21°C
$2,020 交易量
23%
22°C
$472 交易量
3%
23°C或更高
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a September 14 high near 20°C in Warsaw amid stable early-autumn conditions with light southwesterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating. Current observations show today’s peak around 19–20°C under similar overcast skies, consistent with historical mid-September averages of 16–19°C and supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 19–21°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and weak pressure gradients reduce the likelihood of significant deviations, though minor model spreads in cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the exact maximum. Official measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,818結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a September 14 high near 20°C in Warsaw amid stable early-autumn conditions with light southwesterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating. Current observations show today’s peak around 19–20°C under similar overcast skies, consistent with historical mid-September averages of 16–19°C and supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 19–21°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and weak pressure gradients reduce the likelihood of significant deviations, though minor model spreads in cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the exact maximum. Official measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,818結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus, including GFS runs, points to a September 14 high near 20°C in Warsaw amid stable early-autumn conditions with light southwesterly winds, extensive cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating. Current observations show today’s peak around 19–20°C under similar overcast skies, consistent with historical mid-September averages of 16–19°C and supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 19–21°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and weak pressure gradients reduce the likelihood of significant deviations, though minor model spreads in cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the exact maximum. Official measurements from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions