**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日華沙的最低溫度？
9月13日華沙的最低溫度？
6°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,992 交易量
$1,992 交易量
2026-09-13
5°C或以下
否
6°C
是
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或以上
否
6°C 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,992 交易量
$1,992 交易量
2026-09-13
5°C或以下
$255 交易量
否
6°C
$397 交易量
是
7°C
$566 交易量
否
8°C
$74 交易量
否
9°C
$304 交易量
否
10°C
$228 交易量
否
11°C
$58 交易量
否
12°C
$52 交易量
否
13°C
$0 交易量
否
14°C
$25 交易量
否
15°C或以上
$33 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,992結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,992結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions