**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure are driving efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan on September 12, 2026, with official forecasts showing a minimum of 21–25°C.** Multiple models (including GFS and local analyses) cluster the overnight low near 21–23°C under dry conditions with dew points around 16–18°C and minimal cloud cover, limiting further cooling. The tightly matched market-implied probabilities—18°C at 53.5% versus 15–17°C near 46.5%—capture small uncertainties in exact radiative loss rates, urban heat island effects, and micro-scale wind variations that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds, consistent with the strong consensus against warmer minima given the current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日武漢最低氣溫？
9月12日武漢最低氣溫？
15°C 92%
16°C 92%
17°C 92%
14°C或以下 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
90%
15°C
92%
16°C
92%
17°C
92%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
15°C 92%
16°C 92%
17°C 92%
14°C或以下 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
15°C
$0 交易量
92%
16°C
$0 交易量
92%
17°C
$39 交易量
92%
18°C
$206 交易量
-
19°C
$196 交易量
<1%
20°C
$171 交易量
<1%
21°C
$28 交易量
<1%
22°C
$382 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,674 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure are driving efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan on September 12, 2026, with official forecasts showing a minimum of 21–25°C.** Multiple models (including GFS and local analyses) cluster the overnight low near 21–23°C under dry conditions with dew points around 16–18°C and minimal cloud cover, limiting further cooling. The tightly matched market-implied probabilities—18°C at 53.5% versus 15–17°C near 46.5%—capture small uncertainties in exact radiative loss rates, urban heat island effects, and micro-scale wind variations that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds, consistent with the strong consensus against warmer minima given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,721結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure are driving efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan on September 12, 2026, with official forecasts showing a minimum of 21–25°C.** Multiple models (including GFS and local analyses) cluster the overnight low near 21–23°C under dry conditions with dew points around 16–18°C and minimal cloud cover, limiting further cooling. The tightly matched market-implied probabilities—18°C at 53.5% versus 15–17°C near 46.5%—capture small uncertainties in exact radiative loss rates, urban heat island effects, and micro-scale wind variations that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds, consistent with the strong consensus against warmer minima given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,721結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure are driving efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in Wuhan on September 12, 2026, with official forecasts showing a minimum of 21–25°C.** Multiple models (including GFS and local analyses) cluster the overnight low near 21–23°C under dry conditions with dew points around 16–18°C and minimal cloud cover, limiting further cooling. The tightly matched market-implied probabilities—18°C at 53.5% versus 15–17°C near 46.5%—capture small uncertainties in exact radiative loss rates, urban heat island effects, and micro-scale wind variations that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1–3°C. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds, consistent with the strong consensus against warmer minima given the current synoptic setup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions