Recent meteorological forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily minimum temperature near 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the humid subtropical climate. Trader consensus placing the strongest implied probability on 19°C reflects expectations of localized cooling from increased overnight cloud cover or subtle shifts in regional pressure patterns, while the notable share for 15°C or below highlights uncertainty around potential model divergences or unseasonal advection of cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes stable high-pressure influence limiting significant drops, yet evolving hourly observations and ensemble model spreads continue to inform active position adjustments ahead of final daily minimum confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日武漢最低氣溫？
9月13日武漢最低氣溫？
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$1,230 交易量
$1,230 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$1,230 交易量
$1,230 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
16°C
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C
$34 交易量
否
19°C
$317 交易量
是
20°C
$145 交易量
否
21°C
$126 交易量
否
22°C
$262 交易量
否
23°C
$316 交易量
否
24°C
$15 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily minimum temperature near 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the humid subtropical climate. Trader consensus placing the strongest implied probability on 19°C reflects expectations of localized cooling from increased overnight cloud cover or subtle shifts in regional pressure patterns, while the notable share for 15°C or below highlights uncertainty around potential model divergences or unseasonal advection of cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes stable high-pressure influence limiting significant drops, yet evolving hourly observations and ensemble model spreads continue to inform active position adjustments ahead of final daily minimum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,230結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily minimum temperature near 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the humid subtropical climate. Trader consensus placing the strongest implied probability on 19°C reflects expectations of localized cooling from increased overnight cloud cover or subtle shifts in regional pressure patterns, while the notable share for 15°C or below highlights uncertainty around potential model divergences or unseasonal advection of cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes stable high-pressure influence limiting significant drops, yet evolving hourly observations and ensemble model spreads continue to inform active position adjustments ahead of final daily minimum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,230結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent meteorological forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily minimum temperature near 23–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the humid subtropical climate. Trader consensus placing the strongest implied probability on 19°C reflects expectations of localized cooling from increased overnight cloud cover or subtle shifts in regional pressure patterns, while the notable share for 15°C or below highlights uncertainty around potential model divergences or unseasonal advection of cooler air masses. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes stable high-pressure influence limiting significant drops, yet evolving hourly observations and ensemble model spreads continue to inform active position adjustments ahead of final daily minimum confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions