**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low in Wuhan on September 14 due to consistent forecast model outputs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under stable, cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds.** Current observations indicate daytime highs around 31–32°C with gradual cooling after sunset, aligning with climatological September norms for the region where diurnal ranges often reach 8–10°C. Multiple model runs project minimal further drop below 20°C given moderate humidity (45–60%) and low precipitation risk, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though these appear unlikely with ongoing overcast patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日武漢最低氣溫？
9月14日武漢最低氣溫？
20°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$1,208 交易量
$1,208 交易量
2026-09-14
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$1,208 交易量
$1,208 交易量
2026-09-14
18°C或以下
$51 交易量
否
19°C
$31 交易量
否
20°C
$272 交易量
是
21°C
$0 交易量
否
22°C
$124 交易量
否
23°C
$343 交易量
否
24°C
$388 交易量
否
25°C
$0 交易量
否
26°C
$0 交易量
否
27°C
$0 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low in Wuhan on September 14 due to consistent forecast model outputs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under stable, cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds.**
Current observations indicate daytime highs around 31–32°C with gradual cooling after sunset, aligning with climatological September norms for the region where diurnal ranges often reach 8–10°C. Multiple model runs project minimal further drop below 20°C given moderate humidity (45–60%) and low precipitation risk, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds.
Realistic challenges include unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though these appear unlikely with ongoing overcast patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,208結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low in Wuhan on September 14 due to consistent forecast model outputs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under stable, cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds.**
Current observations indicate daytime highs around 31–32°C with gradual cooling after sunset, aligning with climatological September norms for the region where diurnal ranges often reach 8–10°C. Multiple model runs project minimal further drop below 20°C given moderate humidity (45–60%) and low precipitation risk, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds.
Realistic challenges include unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though these appear unlikely with ongoing overcast patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,208結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low in Wuhan on September 14 due to consistent forecast model outputs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources showing overnight temperatures bottoming near that threshold under stable, cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds.** Current observations indicate daytime highs around 31–32°C with gradual cooling after sunset, aligning with climatological September norms for the region where diurnal ranges often reach 8–10°C. Multiple model runs project minimal further drop below 20°C given moderate humidity (45–60%) and low precipitation risk, supporting the near-certain market-implied odds. Realistic challenges include unexpected radiative cooling under clearer skies or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though these appear unlikely with ongoing overcast patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions