Official National Weather Service observations for Denver on September 11 recorded a minimum temperature of 62°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 62-63°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This reflects accurate pre-event forecast consensus from models anticipating modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and above-normal daytime highs near 89°F that limited radiative heat loss. Historical September averages place typical lows around 51°F, but persistent warm advection and dry conditions supported the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on verified station data with minimal uncertainty, though rare post-observation adjustments for instrumentation or siting could theoretically shift the exact bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日丹佛的最低溫度？
9月11日丹佛的最低溫度？
62-63°F 99%
56-57°F 3%
華氏53度或以下 <1%
54-55°F <1%
$663 交易量
$663 交易量
2026-09-11
華氏53度或以下
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
是
64-65°F
否
66-67華氏度
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72°F或以上
否
62-63°F 99%
56-57°F 3%
華氏53度或以下 <1%
54-55°F <1%
$663 交易量
$663 交易量
2026-09-11
華氏53度或以下
$40 交易量
否
54-55°F
$25 交易量
否
56-57°F
$11 交易量
否
58-59°F
$40 交易量
否
60-61°F
$40 交易量
否
62-63°F
$30 交易量
是
64-65°F
$80 交易量
否
66-67華氏度
$60 交易量
否
68-69°F
$60 交易量
否
70-71°F
$32 交易量
否
72°F或以上
$245 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for Denver on September 11 recorded a minimum temperature of 62°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 62-63°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This reflects accurate pre-event forecast consensus from models anticipating modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and above-normal daytime highs near 89°F that limited radiative heat loss. Historical September averages place typical lows around 51°F, but persistent warm advection and dry conditions supported the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on verified station data with minimal uncertainty, though rare post-observation adjustments for instrumentation or siting could theoretically shift the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$663結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for Denver on September 11 recorded a minimum temperature of 62°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 62-63°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This reflects accurate pre-event forecast consensus from models anticipating modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and above-normal daytime highs near 89°F that limited radiative heat loss. Historical September averages place typical lows around 51°F, but persistent warm advection and dry conditions supported the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on verified station data with minimal uncertainty, though rare post-observation adjustments for instrumentation or siting could theoretically shift the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$663結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations for Denver on September 11 recorded a minimum temperature of 62°F, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 62-63°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This reflects accurate pre-event forecast consensus from models anticipating modest overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and above-normal daytime highs near 89°F that limited radiative heat loss. Historical September averages place typical lows around 51°F, but persistent warm advection and dry conditions supported the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on verified station data with minimal uncertainty, though rare post-observation adjustments for instrumentation or siting could theoretically shift the exact bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions