**Recent southerly winds and a clearing frontal system after heavy rain are the main drivers positioning 13°C as the market leader for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 8.** Official short-range guidance from MetService and aligned models show the cold outbreak easing into partly cloudy or fine conditions with light-to-moderate southeasterlies, limiting daytime warming. This produces forecast highs clustered around 12–13 °C (roughly 53–55 °F), consistent with early-spring climatology under persistent El Niño westerlies that favor temperature variability but no strong warming signal for the date. Model consensus is tight, with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind; any shift toward clearer skies or a northerly change could lift readings toward 14–15 °C, while stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 12 °C. Traders are weighting the most probable outcome near the seasonal mean given the stable post-frontal regime and absence of major forecast revisions in the latest runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
13°C 49%
14°C 33%
12°C 19%
11°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
8°C或以下
4%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
10%
12°C
19%
13°C
49%
14°C
33%
15°C
9%
16°C
5%
17°C
3%
18°C或以上
3%
13°C 49%
14°C 33%
12°C 19%
11°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
9°C
$0 交易量
3%
10°C
$0 交易量
5%
11°C
$0 交易量
10%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C
$129 交易量
49%
14°C
$151 交易量
33%
15°C
$19 交易量
9%
16°C
$11 交易量
5%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent southerly winds and a clearing frontal system after heavy rain are the main drivers positioning 13°C as the market leader for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 8.** Official short-range guidance from MetService and aligned models show the cold outbreak easing into partly cloudy or fine conditions with light-to-moderate southeasterlies, limiting daytime warming. This produces forecast highs clustered around 12–13 °C (roughly 53–55 °F), consistent with early-spring climatology under persistent El Niño westerlies that favor temperature variability but no strong warming signal for the date. Model consensus is tight, with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind; any shift toward clearer skies or a northerly change could lift readings toward 14–15 °C, while stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 12 °C. Traders are weighting the most probable outcome near the seasonal mean given the stable post-frontal regime and absence of major forecast revisions in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$310結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent southerly winds and a clearing frontal system after heavy rain are the main drivers positioning 13°C as the market leader for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 8.** Official short-range guidance from MetService and aligned models show the cold outbreak easing into partly cloudy or fine conditions with light-to-moderate southeasterlies, limiting daytime warming. This produces forecast highs clustered around 12–13 °C (roughly 53–55 °F), consistent with early-spring climatology under persistent El Niño westerlies that favor temperature variability but no strong warming signal for the date. Model consensus is tight, with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind; any shift toward clearer skies or a northerly change could lift readings toward 14–15 °C, while stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 12 °C. Traders are weighting the most probable outcome near the seasonal mean given the stable post-frontal regime and absence of major forecast revisions in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$310結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Recent southerly winds and a clearing frontal system after heavy rain are the main drivers positioning 13°C as the market leader for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 8.** Official short-range guidance from MetService and aligned models show the cold outbreak easing into partly cloudy or fine conditions with light-to-moderate southeasterlies, limiting daytime warming. This produces forecast highs clustered around 12–13 °C (roughly 53–55 °F), consistent with early-spring climatology under persistent El Niño westerlies that favor temperature variability but no strong warming signal for the date. Model consensus is tight, with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind; any shift toward clearer skies or a northerly change could lift readings toward 14–15 °C, while stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 12 °C. Traders are weighting the most probable outcome near the seasonal mean given the stable post-frontal regime and absence of major forecast revisions in the latest runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions