**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月8日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
4°C 100.0%
3°C或以下 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,260 交易量
$2,260 交易量
2026-09-08
3°C或以下
否
4°C
是
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C或以上
否
4°C 100.0%
3°C或以下 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,260 交易量
$2,260 交易量
2026-09-08
3°C或以下
$123 交易量
否
4°C
$470 交易量
是
5°C
$45 交易量
否
6°C
$209 交易量
否
7°C
$149 交易量
否
8°C
$274 交易量
否
9°C
$35 交易量
否
10°C
$45 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$910 交易量
否
13°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,260結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,260結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions