**Persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northeasterly flow from lingering low-pressure influences and typhoon outer bands are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 6.** Official advisories highlight heavy rain potential across northern Taiwan, with models showing 20–35+ mm of accumulation and high humidity (often 85–95%) that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 26–30°C rather than the seasonal September average near 31°C, explaining why trader consensus concentrates on 27–29°C outcomes (over 60% combined implied probability). Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of showers versus partial clearing, creating the tight spread between 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C. Wind speeds of 5–10 km/h from the northwest or west add further mixing that prevents localized warming. Resolution will hinge on verified observations from Central Weather Administration stations, with the most recent forecast updates likely to refine odds ahead of the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日臺北氣溫最高？
9月6日臺北氣溫最高？
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
17%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
1%
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
30°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
$310 交易量
<1%
25°C
$335 交易量
1%
26°C
$323 交易量
4%
27°C
$538 交易量
19%
28°C
$313 交易量
25%
29°C
$322 交易量
25%
30°C
$491 交易量
17%
31°C
$452 交易量
5%
32°C
$222 交易量
3%
33°C
$137 交易量
2%
34°C或以上
$141 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northeasterly flow from lingering low-pressure influences and typhoon outer bands are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 6.** Official advisories highlight heavy rain potential across northern Taiwan, with models showing 20–35+ mm of accumulation and high humidity (often 85–95%) that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling.
This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 26–30°C rather than the seasonal September average near 31°C, explaining why trader consensus concentrates on 27–29°C outcomes (over 60% combined implied probability). Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of showers versus partial clearing, creating the tight spread between 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C. Wind speeds of 5–10 km/h from the northwest or west add further mixing that prevents localized warming.
Resolution will hinge on verified observations from Central Weather Administration stations, with the most recent forecast updates likely to refine odds ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,474結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northeasterly flow from lingering low-pressure influences and typhoon outer bands are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 6.** Official advisories highlight heavy rain potential across northern Taiwan, with models showing 20–35+ mm of accumulation and high humidity (often 85–95%) that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling.
This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 26–30°C rather than the seasonal September average near 31°C, explaining why trader consensus concentrates on 27–29°C outcomes (over 60% combined implied probability). Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of showers versus partial clearing, creating the tight spread between 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C. Wind speeds of 5–10 km/h from the northwest or west add further mixing that prevents localized warming.
Resolution will hinge on verified observations from Central Weather Administration stations, with the most recent forecast updates likely to refine odds ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,474結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Persistent cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and northeasterly flow from lingering low-pressure influences and typhoon outer bands are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Taipei on September 6.** Official advisories highlight heavy rain potential across northern Taiwan, with models showing 20–35+ mm of accumulation and high humidity (often 85–95%) that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 26–30°C rather than the seasonal September average near 31°C, explaining why trader consensus concentrates on 27–29°C outcomes (over 60% combined implied probability). Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of showers versus partial clearing, creating the tight spread between 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C. Wind speeds of 5–10 km/h from the northwest or west add further mixing that prevents localized warming. Resolution will hinge on verified observations from Central Weather Administration stations, with the most recent forecast updates likely to refine odds ahead of the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions