**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Taipei on September 6, 2026 (86% implied probability), with 21°C a distant second at 10%.** Persistent rain and cloud cover from the outer bands of Typhoon Krovanh (KROVANH) have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling across northern Taiwan, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in real-time updates) indicate overnight lows settling near 22–23°C under continued showers, high humidity near 90–95%, and light variable winds. This aligns with the current observed trajectory, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s°C throughout the day amid widespread precipitation. Historical September minimums in Taipei average around 23°C, but the typhoon-driven moisture and cloud deck have shifted conditions slightly cooler than seasonal norms without allowing deeper drops. Upcoming overnight observations from the Taipei station will confirm the exact minimum; any clearing or model shift could nudge the outcome toward 21°C or 23°C, though the current setup strongly supports the market's leading outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日臺北最低氣溫？
9月6日臺北最低氣溫？
22°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
$2,035 交易量
$2,035 交易量
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
22°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
$2,035 交易量
$2,035 交易量
2026-09-06
20°C或以下
$60 交易量
否
21°C
$182 交易量
否
22°C
$485 交易量
是
23°C
$93 交易量
否
24°C
$396 交易量
否
25°C
$334 交易量
否
26°C
$274 交易量
否
27°C
$52 交易量
否
28°C
$50 交易量
否
29°C
$50 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$60 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Taipei on September 6, 2026 (86% implied probability), with 21°C a distant second at 10%.** Persistent rain and cloud cover from the outer bands of Typhoon Krovanh (KROVANH) have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling across northern Taiwan, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in real-time updates) indicate overnight lows settling near 22–23°C under continued showers, high humidity near 90–95%, and light variable winds.
This aligns with the current observed trajectory, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s°C throughout the day amid widespread precipitation. Historical September minimums in Taipei average around 23°C, but the typhoon-driven moisture and cloud deck have shifted conditions slightly cooler than seasonal norms without allowing deeper drops. Upcoming overnight observations from the Taipei station will confirm the exact minimum; any clearing or model shift could nudge the outcome toward 21°C or 23°C, though the current setup strongly supports the market's leading outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,035結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Taipei on September 6, 2026 (86% implied probability), with 21°C a distant second at 10%.** Persistent rain and cloud cover from the outer bands of Typhoon Krovanh (KROVANH) have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling across northern Taiwan, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in real-time updates) indicate overnight lows settling near 22–23°C under continued showers, high humidity near 90–95%, and light variable winds.
This aligns with the current observed trajectory, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s°C throughout the day amid widespread precipitation. Historical September minimums in Taipei average around 23°C, but the typhoon-driven moisture and cloud deck have shifted conditions slightly cooler than seasonal norms without allowing deeper drops. Upcoming overnight observations from the Taipei station will confirm the exact minimum; any clearing or model shift could nudge the outcome toward 21°C or 23°C, though the current setup strongly supports the market's leading outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,035結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Taipei on September 6, 2026 (86% implied probability), with 21°C a distant second at 10%.** Persistent rain and cloud cover from the outer bands of Typhoon Krovanh (KROVANH) have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling across northern Taiwan, producing a narrow diurnal temperature range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple forecast models (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in real-time updates) indicate overnight lows settling near 22–23°C under continued showers, high humidity near 90–95%, and light variable winds. This aligns with the current observed trajectory, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s°C throughout the day amid widespread precipitation. Historical September minimums in Taipei average around 23°C, but the typhoon-driven moisture and cloud deck have shifted conditions slightly cooler than seasonal norms without allowing deeper drops. Upcoming overnight observations from the Taipei station will confirm the exact minimum; any clearing or model shift could nudge the outcome toward 21°C or 23°C, though the current setup strongly supports the market's leading outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions