Recent numerical weather model consensus and Central Weather Administration guidance point to an overnight low near 25°C in Taipei on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, light southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s °C range. Official station data and hourly observations through the evening have reinforced this trajectory, with dew points holding around 24-25°C and no significant cold-air advection. Traders assign 90% implied probability to exactly 25°C because deviations would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger northerly flow not currently indicated in updated model runs. Resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum reported by the primary Taipei observation site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日臺北最低氣溫？
9月5日臺北最低氣溫？
25°C 99.5%
20°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$1,037 交易量
$1,037 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
25°C 99.5%
20°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$1,037 交易量
$1,037 交易量
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$16 交易量
否
21°C
$14 交易量
否
22°C
$22 交易量
否
23°C
$45 交易量
否
24°C
$37 交易量
否
25°C
$371 交易量
是
26°C
$264 交易量
否
27°C
$120 交易量
否
28°C
$50 交易量
否
29°C
$45 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$53 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus and Central Weather Administration guidance point to an overnight low near 25°C in Taipei on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, light southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s °C range. Official station data and hourly observations through the evening have reinforced this trajectory, with dew points holding around 24-25°C and no significant cold-air advection. Traders assign 90% implied probability to exactly 25°C because deviations would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger northerly flow not currently indicated in updated model runs. Resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum reported by the primary Taipei observation site.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,037結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus and Central Weather Administration guidance point to an overnight low near 25°C in Taipei on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, light southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s °C range. Official station data and hourly observations through the evening have reinforced this trajectory, with dew points holding around 24-25°C and no significant cold-air advection. Traders assign 90% implied probability to exactly 25°C because deviations would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger northerly flow not currently indicated in updated model runs. Resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum reported by the primary Taipei observation site.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,037結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent numerical weather model consensus and Central Weather Administration guidance point to an overnight low near 25°C in Taipei on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, light southwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where urban heat-island effects and monsoon moisture keep minimum temperatures in the mid-20s °C range. Official station data and hourly observations through the evening have reinforced this trajectory, with dew points holding around 24-25°C and no significant cold-air advection. Traders assign 90% implied probability to exactly 25°C because deviations would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger northerly flow not currently indicated in updated model runs. Resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum reported by the primary Taipei observation site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions