Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Panama City on September 6 due to the city's stable tropical maritime climate, where September overnight minima typically hover near 24–25°C amid consistent northeast trades, high humidity near 90%, and minimal diurnal variation. Official observations and model guidance showed no significant cooling mechanisms such as cold-air intrusions or enhanced cloud cover that would drop readings below this threshold. The market-implied odds reflect this established baseline rather than any acute forecast shift. A realistic challenge would require an atypical surge in northerly flow or unusually clear, radiational cooling conditions, both of which remain outside historical norms for the date and region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月6日的最低溫度?
25°C 99.5%
22°C 20%
20°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$655 交易量
$655 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
25°C 99.5%
22°C 20%
20°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$655 交易量
$655 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low in Panama City on September 6 due to the city's stable tropical maritime climate, where September overnight minima typically hover near 24–25°C amid consistent northeast trades, high humidity near 90%, and minimal diurnal variation. Official observations and model guidance showed no significant cooling mechanisms such as cold-air intrusions or enhanced cloud cover that would drop readings below this threshold. The market-implied odds reflect this established baseline rather than any acute forecast shift. A realistic challenge would require an atypical surge in northerly flow or unusually clear, radiational cooling conditions, both of which remain outside historical norms for the date and region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions