Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a Dallas low near 74–77°F on September 23, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup maintains above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average of 67.6°F, with model consensus showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to resolution. Key differentiators among closely matched market-implied probabilities include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees, while historical precedent and current steering patterns make extremes below 68°F or above 85°F far less likely without an unexpected frontal passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日達拉斯的最低溫度？
9月23日達拉斯的最低溫度？
86°F或更高 65%
67°F或以下 61%
78-79°F 45%
76-77°F 43%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
67°F或以下
61%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
35%
86°F或更高
65%
86°F或更高 65%
67°F或以下 61%
78-79°F 45%
76-77°F 43%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
67°F或以下
$100 交易量
61%
68-69°F
$40 交易量
37%
70-71°F
$12 交易量
36%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
16%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
43%
78-79°F
$10 交易量
45%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
16%
82-83°F
$30 交易量
25%
84-85°F
$100 交易量
35%
86°F或更高
$200 交易量
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a Dallas low near 74–77°F on September 23, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup maintains above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average of 67.6°F, with model consensus showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to resolution. Key differentiators among closely matched market-implied probabilities include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees, while historical precedent and current steering patterns make extremes below 68°F or above 85°F far less likely without an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$498結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a Dallas low near 74–77°F on September 23, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup maintains above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average of 67.6°F, with model consensus showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to resolution. Key differentiators among closely matched market-implied probabilities include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees, while historical precedent and current steering patterns make extremes below 68°F or above 85°F far less likely without an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$498結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a Dallas low near 74–77°F on September 23, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup maintains above-normal minimum temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average of 67.6°F, with model consensus showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to resolution. Key differentiators among closely matched market-implied probabilities include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by a few degrees, while historical precedent and current steering patterns make extremes below 68°F or above 85°F far less likely without an unexpected frontal passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions