Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Incheon on September 22, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Light easterly to northeasterly winds, clear to mostly sunny skies, and moderate humidity near 40% during peak heating hours should allow efficient surface warming under seasonal solar insolation. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, keeping conditions stable over the past 48 hours. Official resolution will rely on Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport, with final hourly readings determining whether the peak reaches or exceeds the 28°C threshold. Minor model spread around afternoon maxima introduces limited uncertainty between the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
28°C 56%
27°C 26%
29°C 13%
26°C 8%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
26%
28°C
56%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 56%
27°C 26%
29°C 13%
26°C 8%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
26%
28°C
56%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Incheon on September 22, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Light easterly to northeasterly winds, clear to mostly sunny skies, and moderate humidity near 40% during peak heating hours should allow efficient surface warming under seasonal solar insolation. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, keeping conditions stable over the past 48 hours. Official resolution will rely on Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport, with final hourly readings determining whether the peak reaches or exceeds the 28°C threshold. Minor model spread around afternoon maxima introduces limited uncertainty between the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions