Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs and AEMET guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds during peak heating hours. A frontal passage and associated rainfall on September 9 produced a notable daytime cooldown to around 26°C, limiting moisture and allowing efficient radiational warming the following afternoon without the deeper instability needed for higher readings. Ensemble consensus clusters tightly around 27–28°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 27–28°C daily highs, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月10日馬德裏氣溫最高？
28°C 59%
27°C 24%
29°C 16%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
59%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 59%
27°C 24%
29°C 16%
26°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
$455 交易量
<1%
25°C
$154 交易量
1%
26°C
$286 交易量
3%
27°C
$1,998 交易量
24%
28°C
$1,758 交易量
59%
29°C
$2,077 交易量
16%
30°C
$287 交易量
2%
31°C
$220 交易量
1%
32°C
$216 交易量
<1%
33°C
$756 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$523 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs and AEMET guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds during peak heating hours. A frontal passage and associated rainfall on September 9 produced a notable daytime cooldown to around 26°C, limiting moisture and allowing efficient radiational warming the following afternoon without the deeper instability needed for higher readings. Ensemble consensus clusters tightly around 27–28°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 27–28°C daily highs, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,731結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs and AEMET guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds during peak heating hours. A frontal passage and associated rainfall on September 9 produced a notable daytime cooldown to around 26°C, limiting moisture and allowing efficient radiational warming the following afternoon without the deeper instability needed for higher readings. Ensemble consensus clusters tightly around 27–28°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 27–28°C daily highs, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,731結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction model runs, including GFS outputs and AEMET guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 28°C in Madrid on September 10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds during peak heating hours. A frontal passage and associated rainfall on September 9 produced a notable daytime cooldown to around 26°C, limiting moisture and allowing efficient radiational warming the following afternoon without the deeper instability needed for higher readings. Ensemble consensus clusters tightly around 27–28°C, consistent with early-September climatology of 27–28°C daily highs, while probabilities for 29°C or above remain low absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions