Traders assign the highest probability to a 26–27°C peak in Busan on September 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a moderating maritime air mass over the East Sea following a recent frontal passage, consistent with September climatology where average daily maxima hover near 26°C. Coastal location and sea-surface temperatures around 25–26°C limit extremes through marine moderation, while weak subtropical ridging may allow brief warming before increased cloud cover or showers arrives. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle steering patterns push the outcome toward the upper or lower end of the tightly bunched 24–28°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日釜山的最高溫度？
9月10日釜山的最高溫度？
27°C 33%
26°C 26%
25°C 17%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
26%
27°C
33%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C或以上
1%
27°C 33%
26°C 26%
25°C 17%
24°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
20°C或以下
$406 交易量
<1%
21°C
$273 交易量
<1%
22°C
$42 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
11%
25°C
$41 交易量
17%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$561 交易量
33%
28°C
$137 交易量
11%
29°C
$5 交易量
4%
30°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 26–27°C peak in Busan on September 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a moderating maritime air mass over the East Sea following a recent frontal passage, consistent with September climatology where average daily maxima hover near 26°C. Coastal location and sea-surface temperatures around 25–26°C limit extremes through marine moderation, while weak subtropical ridging may allow brief warming before increased cloud cover or showers arrives. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle steering patterns push the outcome toward the upper or lower end of the tightly bunched 24–28°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,464結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 26–27°C peak in Busan on September 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a moderating maritime air mass over the East Sea following a recent frontal passage, consistent with September climatology where average daily maxima hover near 26°C. Coastal location and sea-surface temperatures around 25–26°C limit extremes through marine moderation, while weak subtropical ridging may allow brief warming before increased cloud cover or showers arrives. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle steering patterns push the outcome toward the upper or lower end of the tightly bunched 24–28°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,464結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTraders assign the highest probability to a 26–27°C peak in Busan on September 10 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show a moderating maritime air mass over the East Sea following a recent frontal passage, consistent with September climatology where average daily maxima hover near 26°C. Coastal location and sea-surface temperatures around 25–26°C limit extremes through marine moderation, while weak subtropical ridging may allow brief warming before increased cloud cover or showers arrives. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model cycles will clarify whether subtle steering patterns push the outcome toward the upper or lower end of the tightly bunched 24–28°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions