Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 10 project a high near 86–87°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with private model runs showing similar values amid a warm, humid air mass and light west-southwest flow. This places the market-implied probability heavily on the 86–87°F bin as the consensus outcome, above the early-September normal of roughly 79°F. Recent observations from Central Park, with highs of 80–84°F on the prior two days, support modest warming without strong cold-air advection or extensive cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the actual high into the adjacent 84–85°F or 88–89°F ranges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月10日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月10日的最高溫度？
86-87華氏度 44%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
90-91°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81華氏度
3%
82-83華氏度
4%
84-85°F
16%
86-87華氏度
44%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
華氏94度或更高
<1%
86-87華氏度 44%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
90-91°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
華氏75度或以下
$365 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$57 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$549 交易量
1%
80-81華氏度
$124 交易量
3%
82-83華氏度
$323 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$1,778 交易量
16%
86-87華氏度
$1,105 交易量
44%
88-89°F
$2,541 交易量
31%
90-91°F
$398 交易量
6%
92-93°F
$183 交易量
1%
華氏94度或更高
$141 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 10 project a high near 86–87°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with private model runs showing similar values amid a warm, humid air mass and light west-southwest flow. This places the market-implied probability heavily on the 86–87°F bin as the consensus outcome, above the early-September normal of roughly 79°F. Recent observations from Central Park, with highs of 80–84°F on the prior two days, support modest warming without strong cold-air advection or extensive cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the actual high into the adjacent 84–85°F or 88–89°F ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,565結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 10 project a high near 86–87°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with private model runs showing similar values amid a warm, humid air mass and light west-southwest flow. This places the market-implied probability heavily on the 86–87°F bin as the consensus outcome, above the early-September normal of roughly 79°F. Recent observations from Central Park, with highs of 80–84°F on the prior two days, support modest warming without strong cold-air advection or extensive cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the actual high into the adjacent 84–85°F or 88–89°F ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,565結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 2:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 10 project a high near 86–87°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with private model runs showing similar values amid a warm, humid air mass and light west-southwest flow. This places the market-implied probability heavily on the 86–87°F bin as the consensus outcome, above the early-September normal of roughly 79°F. Recent observations from Central Park, with highs of 80–84°F on the prior two days, support modest warming without strong cold-air advection or extensive cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though minor shifts in timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the actual high into the adjacent 84–85°F or 88–89°F ranges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions