Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across central Texas support overnight lows near 77°F in Austin on September 10, according to National Weather Service-aligned guidance and ensemble consensus. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining elevated in the low-to-mid 70s and light winds limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern of above-average temperatures and humidity, where daily lows have consistently held in the mid-to-upper 70s. The near-even market weighting between 88°F-or-higher and 69°F-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential model shifts or localized variations, while the 74–79°F bins capture the narrower but still plausible central forecast range. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月10日奧斯汀最低溫度？
華氏69度或以下 84%
88°F 或以上 78%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
華氏69度或以下
84%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
37%
88°F 或以上
78%
華氏69度或以下 84%
88°F 或以上 78%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
華氏69度或以下
$0 交易量
84%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
35%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
25%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
28%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
23%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
19%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
37%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
37%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
37%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
37%
88°F 或以上
$0 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across central Texas support overnight lows near 77°F in Austin on September 10, according to National Weather Service-aligned guidance and ensemble consensus. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining elevated in the low-to-mid 70s and light winds limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern of above-average temperatures and humidity, where daily lows have consistently held in the mid-to-upper 70s. The near-even market weighting between 88°F-or-higher and 69°F-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential model shifts or localized variations, while the 74–79°F bins capture the narrower but still plausible central forecast range. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across central Texas support overnight lows near 77°F in Austin on September 10, according to National Weather Service-aligned guidance and ensemble consensus. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining elevated in the low-to-mid 70s and light winds limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern of above-average temperatures and humidity, where daily lows have consistently held in the mid-to-upper 70s. The near-even market weighting between 88°F-or-higher and 69°F-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential model shifts or localized variations, while the 74–79°F bins capture the narrower but still plausible central forecast range. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETPersistent high pressure and southerly flow across central Texas support overnight lows near 77°F in Austin on September 10, according to National Weather Service-aligned guidance and ensemble consensus. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with dew points remaining elevated in the low-to-mid 70s and light winds limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer pattern of above-average temperatures and humidity, where daily lows have consistently held in the mid-to-upper 70s. The near-even market weighting between 88°F-or-higher and 69°F-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential model shifts or localized variations, while the 74–79°F bins capture the narrower but still plausible central forecast range. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions