Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles point to a daily maximum near 37–38°C in Chongqing on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with light southeasterly flow and minimal early precipitation risk. Recent observations show persistent highs of 35–37°C through early September amid the lingering influence of a strong subtropical ridge, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) reflects this narrow model consensus, while lower probabilities for 39°C or above account for possible localized urban heat-island enhancement or minor forecast shifts before official resolution by the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日重慶氣溫最高？
9月8日重慶氣溫最高？
38°C 43%
37°C 35%
39°C 16%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
10%
37°C
35%
38°C
43%
39°C
16%
40°C
8%
41°C
5%
42°C或以上
3%
38°C 43%
37°C 35%
39°C 16%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
32°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
33°C
$0 交易量
3%
34°C
$20 交易量
3%
35°C
$2 交易量
8%
36°C
$0 交易量
10%
37°C
$330 交易量
35%
38°C
$292 交易量
43%
39°C
$77 交易量
16%
40°C
$20 交易量
8%
41°C
$30 交易量
5%
42°C或以上
$200 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles point to a daily maximum near 37–38°C in Chongqing on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with light southeasterly flow and minimal early precipitation risk. Recent observations show persistent highs of 35–37°C through early September amid the lingering influence of a strong subtropical ridge, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) reflects this narrow model consensus, while lower probabilities for 39°C or above account for possible localized urban heat-island enhancement or minor forecast shifts before official resolution by the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$971結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles point to a daily maximum near 37–38°C in Chongqing on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with light southeasterly flow and minimal early precipitation risk. Recent observations show persistent highs of 35–37°C through early September amid the lingering influence of a strong subtropical ridge, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) reflects this narrow model consensus, while lower probabilities for 39°C or above account for possible localized urban heat-island enhancement or minor forecast shifts before official resolution by the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$971結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international ensembles point to a daily maximum near 37–38°C in Chongqing on September 8 under mostly sunny skies with light southeasterly flow and minimal early precipitation risk. Recent observations show persistent highs of 35–37°C through early September amid the lingering influence of a strong subtropical ridge, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin. Trader emphasis on the 38°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) reflects this narrow model consensus, while lower probabilities for 39°C or above account for possible localized urban heat-island enhancement or minor forecast shifts before official resolution by the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions