Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–29°C for Chongqing on September 8, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar conditions, with the approaching weak front expected to arrive after the 8th and produce only isolated eastern showers. Model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and local topography create genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum, supporting the market’s near-even split between sub-23°C and 33°C+ outcomes while centering probability on mid-20s values. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日重慶最低氣溫?
30°C 47%
31°C 47%
33°C或以上 42.9%
23°C或以下 42.7%
23°C或以下
43%
24°C
23%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
47%
31°C
47%
32°C
24%
33°C或以上
43%
30°C 47%
31°C 47%
33°C或以上 42.9%
23°C或以下 42.7%
23°C或以下
43%
24°C
23%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
47%
31°C
47%
32°C
24%
33°C或以上
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 27–29°C for Chongqing on September 8, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar conditions, with the approaching weak front expected to arrive after the 8th and produce only isolated eastern showers. Model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and local topography create genuine uncertainty around the precise minimum, supporting the market’s near-even split between sub-23°C and 33°C+ outcomes while centering probability on mid-20s values. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions