Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daytime maximum of 38°C in Jeddah on September 9, consistent with recent daily highs of 36–38.4°C observed earlier in the month and September climatology showing typical peaks near 37°C under clear, arid conditions with light northwest winds. This alignment drives the 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 38°C, reflecting trader consensus backed by real-time data on insolation, humidity near 30–40%, and stable high-pressure patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing surface heating or revisions in official station measurements deviating from model consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月9日最高溫度？
吉達9月9日最高溫度？
38°C 84%
39°C或以上 16%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
$25,689 交易量
$25,689 交易量
2026-09-09
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
84%
39°C或以上
16%
38°C 84%
39°C或以上 16%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
$25,689 交易量
$25,689 交易量
2026-09-09
29°C或以下
$309 交易量
<1%
30°C
$309 交易量
<1%
31°C
$309 交易量
<1%
32°C
$246 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,685 交易量
<1%
34°C
$570 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,182 交易量
<1%
36°C
$3,168 交易量
<1%
37°C
$5,113 交易量
<1%
38°C
$5,510 交易量
84%
39°C或以上
$7,289 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daytime maximum of 38°C in Jeddah on September 9, consistent with recent daily highs of 36–38.4°C observed earlier in the month and September climatology showing typical peaks near 37°C under clear, arid conditions with light northwest winds. This alignment drives the 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 38°C, reflecting trader consensus backed by real-time data on insolation, humidity near 30–40%, and stable high-pressure patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing surface heating or revisions in official station measurements deviating from model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$25,689結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daytime maximum of 38°C in Jeddah on September 9, consistent with recent daily highs of 36–38.4°C observed earlier in the month and September climatology showing typical peaks near 37°C under clear, arid conditions with light northwest winds. This alignment drives the 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 38°C, reflecting trader consensus backed by real-time data on insolation, humidity near 30–40%, and stable high-pressure patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing surface heating or revisions in official station measurements deviating from model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,689結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts from regional meteorological models project a daytime maximum of 38°C in Jeddah on September 9, consistent with recent daily highs of 36–38.4°C observed earlier in the month and September climatology showing typical peaks near 37°C under clear, arid conditions with light northwest winds. This alignment drives the 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 38°C, reflecting trader consensus backed by real-time data on insolation, humidity near 30–40%, and stable high-pressure patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing surface heating or revisions in official station measurements deviating from model consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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