The market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus that Manila’s official high temperature on September 9 will reach 30°C, driven by PAGASA observations and model guidance showing a peak of 29.7–31°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds have limited daytime heating to near the seasonal average for early September, with recorded maxima at the Science Garden station aligning closely with this threshold. Traders are pricing in the high likelihood that monsoon-driven humidity and rainfall will prevent both cooler outliers and any brief spikes above 31°C before evening cooling sets in. A sudden clearing of skies or shift in steering patterns could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current model consensus and ongoing habagat conditions make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月9日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$30,262 交易量
$30,262 交易量
2026-09-09
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$30,262 交易量
$30,262 交易量
2026-09-09
23°C或以下
$240 交易量
<1%
24°C
$240 交易量
<1%
25°C
$805 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,743 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,878 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,945 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,559 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5,259 交易量
100%
31°C
$2,708 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,729 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$1,155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus that Manila’s official high temperature on September 9 will reach 30°C, driven by PAGASA observations and model guidance showing a peak of 29.7–31°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds have limited daytime heating to near the seasonal average for early September, with recorded maxima at the Science Garden station aligning closely with this threshold. Traders are pricing in the high likelihood that monsoon-driven humidity and rainfall will prevent both cooler outliers and any brief spikes above 31°C before evening cooling sets in. A sudden clearing of skies or shift in steering patterns could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current model consensus and ongoing habagat conditions make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$30,262結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus that Manila’s official high temperature on September 9 will reach 30°C, driven by PAGASA observations and model guidance showing a peak of 29.7–31°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds have limited daytime heating to near the seasonal average for early September, with recorded maxima at the Science Garden station aligning closely with this threshold. Traders are pricing in the high likelihood that monsoon-driven humidity and rainfall will prevent both cooler outliers and any brief spikes above 31°C before evening cooling sets in. A sudden clearing of skies or shift in steering patterns could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current model consensus and ongoing habagat conditions make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,262結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThe market-implied odds reflect the strong consensus that Manila’s official high temperature on September 9 will reach 30°C, driven by PAGASA observations and model guidance showing a peak of 29.7–31°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds have limited daytime heating to near the seasonal average for early September, with recorded maxima at the Science Garden station aligning closely with this threshold. Traders are pricing in the high likelihood that monsoon-driven humidity and rainfall will prevent both cooler outliers and any brief spikes above 31°C before evening cooling sets in. A sudden clearing of skies or shift in steering patterns could allow temperatures to edge higher, though current model consensus and ongoing habagat conditions make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions