Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread thunderstorm activity are suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila ahead of September 10, keeping official forecast highs near 27–28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing maxima 2–4 °C below the September climatological average of 31 °C. Model consensus from agencies such as PAGASA and global ensembles shows only modest afternoon breaks in cloud cover, with little potential for rapid clearing that would push readings toward 30 °C or higher. Traders therefore cluster around the 29–30 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between continued monsoonal suppression and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming before the next convective pulse.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月10日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
28°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
29%
30°C
30%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
<1%
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
28°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
$397 交易量
<1%
25°C
$204 交易量
2%
26°C
$387 交易量
2%
27°C
$68 交易量
4%
28°C
$1,419 交易量
16%
29°C
$2,069 交易量
29%
30°C
$339 交易量
30%
31°C
$1,474 交易量
12%
32°C
$234 交易量
3%
33°C
$88 交易量
1%
34°C或更高
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread thunderstorm activity are suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila ahead of September 10, keeping official forecast highs near 27–28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing maxima 2–4 °C below the September climatological average of 31 °C. Model consensus from agencies such as PAGASA and global ensembles shows only modest afternoon breaks in cloud cover, with little potential for rapid clearing that would push readings toward 30 °C or higher. Traders therefore cluster around the 29–30 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between continued monsoonal suppression and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming before the next convective pulse.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,879結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread thunderstorm activity are suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila ahead of September 10, keeping official forecast highs near 27–28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing maxima 2–4 °C below the September climatological average of 31 °C. Model consensus from agencies such as PAGASA and global ensembles shows only modest afternoon breaks in cloud cover, with little potential for rapid clearing that would push readings toward 30 °C or higher. Traders therefore cluster around the 29–30 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between continued monsoonal suppression and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming before the next convective pulse.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,879結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread thunderstorm activity are suppressing daytime heating across Metro Manila ahead of September 10, keeping official forecast highs near 27–28 °C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with recent observations showing maxima 2–4 °C below the September climatological average of 31 °C. Model consensus from agencies such as PAGASA and global ensembles shows only modest afternoon breaks in cloud cover, with little potential for rapid clearing that would push readings toward 30 °C or higher. Traders therefore cluster around the 29–30 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between continued monsoonal suppression and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming before the next convective pulse.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions