Recent meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, confirm a daily maximum of 21°C on September 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September conditions moderated by Atlantic influences and light winds, falling slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C but well below historical extremes near 29°C. Official data releases from monitoring agencies provide the resolution threshold, with minimal forecast uncertainty remaining as the observation window closes. Revisions to the recorded maximum or disputes over station siting represent the primary, albeit low-probability, scenarios that could shift the implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月11日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,860 交易量
$35,860 交易量
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,860 交易量
$35,860 交易量
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
$154 交易量
否
15°C
$146 交易量
否
16°C
$166 交易量
否
17°C
$2,555 交易量
否
18°C
$2,522 交易量
否
19°C
$7,021 交易量
否
20°C
$9,019 交易量
否
21°C
$9,805 交易量
是
22°C
$2,796 交易量
否
23°C
$1,062 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$613 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, confirm a daily maximum of 21°C on September 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September conditions moderated by Atlantic influences and light winds, falling slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C but well below historical extremes near 29°C. Official data releases from monitoring agencies provide the resolution threshold, with minimal forecast uncertainty remaining as the observation window closes. Revisions to the recorded maximum or disputes over station siting represent the primary, albeit low-probability, scenarios that could shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$35,860結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, confirm a daily maximum of 21°C on September 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September conditions moderated by Atlantic influences and light winds, falling slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C but well below historical extremes near 29°C. Official data releases from monitoring agencies provide the resolution threshold, with minimal forecast uncertainty remaining as the observation window closes. Revisions to the recorded maximum or disputes over station siting represent the primary, albeit low-probability, scenarios that could shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,860結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent meteorological observations from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, confirm a daily maximum of 21°C on September 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical early-September conditions moderated by Atlantic influences and light winds, falling slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C but well below historical extremes near 29°C. Official data releases from monitoring agencies provide the resolution threshold, with minimal forecast uncertainty remaining as the observation window closes. Revisions to the recorded maximum or disputes over station siting represent the primary, albeit low-probability, scenarios that could shift the implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions