Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate clear, sunny skies with light northerly to southwesterly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation for Beijing on September 11, favoring maximum daytime solar heating and highs in the 29–31°C range. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (51%) and 32°C (30%), as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical mid-September climatology of ~27°C highs. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal advection of cooler air have reinforced upward revisions in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on official peak observations amid low uncertainty in the dry pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日北京最高溫度？
9月11日北京最高溫度？
31°C 48%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
48%
32°C
32%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
$271 交易量
<1%
26°C
$174 交易量
<1%
27°C
$320 交易量
2%
28°C
$135 交易量
3%
29°C
$188 交易量
5%
30°C
$153 交易量
16%
31°C
$1,127 交易量
48%
32°C
$739 交易量
32%
33°C
$0 交易量
4%
34°C
$0 交易量
3%
35°C或以上
$142 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate clear, sunny skies with light northerly to southwesterly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation for Beijing on September 11, favoring maximum daytime solar heating and highs in the 29–31°C range. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (51%) and 32°C (30%), as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical mid-September climatology of ~27°C highs. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal advection of cooler air have reinforced upward revisions in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on official peak observations amid low uncertainty in the dry pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,248結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate clear, sunny skies with light northerly to southwesterly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation for Beijing on September 11, favoring maximum daytime solar heating and highs in the 29–31°C range. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (51%) and 32°C (30%), as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical mid-September climatology of ~27°C highs. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal advection of cooler air have reinforced upward revisions in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on official peak observations amid low uncertainty in the dry pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,248結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate clear, sunny skies with light northerly to southwesterly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation for Beijing on September 11, favoring maximum daytime solar heating and highs in the 29–31°C range. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (51%) and 32°C (30%), as traders weigh ensemble consensus against typical mid-September climatology of ~27°C highs. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal advection of cooler air have reinforced upward revisions in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on official peak observations amid low uncertainty in the dry pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions