**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and official meteorological guidance, including data from Turkish meteorological services and international sources, indicate a mostly sunny day with northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h moderating temperatures. Daytime peaks are projected near 25–26°C (78–79°F), consistent with early September climatology for the region, where average highs range 24–27°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and stable atmospheric conditions support this narrow outcome band. A realistic challenge would require unexpected warming from reduced wind flow or localized urban heat effects pushing the official maximum to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月9日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
25°C 98%
26°C 3%
27°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$18,222 交易量
$18,222 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 98%
26°C 3%
27°C <1%
21°C或以下 <1%
$18,222 交易量
$18,222 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
$666 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,434 交易量
<1%
23°C
$673 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,725 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,742 交易量
98%
26°C
$3,230 交易量
3%
27°C
$1,382 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,885 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,532 交易量
<1%
30°C
$664 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$401 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and official meteorological guidance, including data from Turkish meteorological services and international sources, indicate a mostly sunny day with northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h moderating temperatures. Daytime peaks are projected near 25–26°C (78–79°F), consistent with early September climatology for the region, where average highs range 24–27°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and stable atmospheric conditions support this narrow outcome band. A realistic challenge would require unexpected warming from reduced wind flow or localized urban heat effects pushing the official maximum to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$18,222結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and official meteorological guidance, including data from Turkish meteorological services and international sources, indicate a mostly sunny day with northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h moderating temperatures. Daytime peaks are projected near 25–26°C (78–79°F), consistent with early September climatology for the region, where average highs range 24–27°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and stable atmospheric conditions support this narrow outcome band. A realistic challenge would require unexpected warming from reduced wind flow or localized urban heat effects pushing the official maximum to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,222結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and official meteorological guidance, including data from Turkish meteorological services and international sources, indicate a mostly sunny day with northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h moderating temperatures. Daytime peaks are projected near 25–26°C (78–79°F), consistent with early September climatology for the region, where average highs range 24–27°C. Low precipitation risk (under 5%) and stable atmospheric conditions support this narrow outcome band. A realistic challenge would require unexpected warming from reduced wind flow or localized urban heat effects pushing the official maximum to 26°C or higher, though current model runs show limited divergence on this point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions