Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies monitoring Guangzhou have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for September 10, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C. Northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation have supported stable conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, producing market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome. While official station readings provide high confidence, minor discrepancies in measurement timing or microclimate variations at different sites could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C, though current consensus across multiple models makes such revisions improbable before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日廣州最高溫度？
9月10日廣州最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,808 交易量
$43,808 交易量
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或以上
否
32°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$43,808 交易量
$43,808 交易量
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
$241 交易量
否
28°C
$2,216 交易量
否
29°C
$1,287 交易量
否
30°C
$3,199 交易量
否
31°C
$4,799 交易量
否
32°C
$7,588 交易量
是
33°C
$6,699 交易量
否
34°C
$8,831 交易量
否
35°C
$7,412 交易量
否
36°C
$1,308 交易量
否
37°C或以上
$228 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies monitoring Guangzhou have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for September 10, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C. Northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation have supported stable conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, producing market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome. While official station readings provide high confidence, minor discrepancies in measurement timing or microclimate variations at different sites could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C, though current consensus across multiple models makes such revisions improbable before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$43,808結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies monitoring Guangzhou have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for September 10, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C. Northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation have supported stable conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, producing market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome. While official station readings provide high confidence, minor discrepancies in measurement timing or microclimate variations at different sites could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C, though current consensus across multiple models makes such revisions improbable before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,808結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies monitoring Guangzhou have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for September 10, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C. Northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation have supported stable conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, producing market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome. While official station readings provide high confidence, minor discrepancies in measurement timing or microclimate variations at different sites could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C, though current consensus across multiple models makes such revisions improbable before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions