Latest forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF consensus indicate a highest temperature near 16–17°C in Helsinki on September 10, with the market’s tight 38.5%–32.5% split between those outcomes reflecting modest ensemble spread. A passing warm front and light southerly flow are supporting daytime maxima slightly above the early-September climatological mean of about 15°C, while variable cloud cover and timing of any showers introduce the main uncertainty in peak readings. Traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution runs that keep the daily high in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to 15°C or 18°C reflecting smaller chances of stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official FMI observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
9月10日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
16°C 39%
17°C 33%
15°C 15%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
13°C或以下
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
39%
17°C
33%
18°C
11%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
16°C 39%
17°C 33%
15°C 15%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
5%
14°C
$16 交易量
5%
15°C
$33 交易量
15%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$231 交易量
33%
18°C
$48 交易量
11%
19°C
$0 交易量
3%
20°C
$7 交易量
1%
21°C
$161 交易量
<1%
22°C
$265 交易量
<1%
23°C或以上
$265 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF consensus indicate a highest temperature near 16–17°C in Helsinki on September 10, with the market’s tight 38.5%–32.5% split between those outcomes reflecting modest ensemble spread. A passing warm front and light southerly flow are supporting daytime maxima slightly above the early-September climatological mean of about 15°C, while variable cloud cover and timing of any showers introduce the main uncertainty in peak readings. Traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution runs that keep the daily high in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to 15°C or 18°C reflecting smaller chances of stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official FMI observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,026結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF consensus indicate a highest temperature near 16–17°C in Helsinki on September 10, with the market’s tight 38.5%–32.5% split between those outcomes reflecting modest ensemble spread. A passing warm front and light southerly flow are supporting daytime maxima slightly above the early-September climatological mean of about 15°C, while variable cloud cover and timing of any showers introduce the main uncertainty in peak readings. Traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution runs that keep the daily high in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to 15°C or 18°C reflecting smaller chances of stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official FMI observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,026結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF consensus indicate a highest temperature near 16–17°C in Helsinki on September 10, with the market’s tight 38.5%–32.5% split between those outcomes reflecting modest ensemble spread. A passing warm front and light southerly flow are supporting daytime maxima slightly above the early-September climatological mean of about 15°C, while variable cloud cover and timing of any showers introduce the main uncertainty in peak readings. Traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution runs that keep the daily high in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to 15°C or 18°C reflecting smaller chances of stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the official FMI observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions