Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日休斯敦的最低溫度?
78-79°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 13%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 3%
$1,622 交易量
$1,622 交易量
華氏71度或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83華氏度
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 13%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 3%
$1,622 交易量
$1,622 交易量
華氏71度或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83華氏度
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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