Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月7日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
39%
32°C
10%
33°C
7%
34°C或以上
5%
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$0 交易量
3%
28°C
$20 交易量
11%
29°C
$0 交易量
17%
30°C
$17 交易量
29%
31°C
$53 交易量
39%
32°C
$0 交易量
10%
33°C
$0 交易量
7%
34°C或以上
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$90結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$90結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions