Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu on September 9 driven by the onset of Huaxi autumn rain, with widespread cloud cover, steady precipitation, and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating and suppressing overnight radiative cooling. Model guidance converges on overnight lows near 18–21 °C, as elevated humidity and persistent rain reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with recent clear, warmer conditions. Minor differences among ensembles arise from variations in rainfall timing and wind strength, which traders weigh against historical September minima around 20 °C. The tightly bunched market odds reflect this narrow but uncertain band, with resolution hinging on official station readings during the coolest pre-dawn hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日成都最低溫度?
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
18°C 26%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
8%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
18°C 26%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
8%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Chengdu on September 9 driven by the onset of Huaxi autumn rain, with widespread cloud cover, steady precipitation, and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating and suppressing overnight radiative cooling. Model guidance converges on overnight lows near 18–21 °C, as elevated humidity and persistent rain reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with recent clear, warmer conditions. Minor differences among ensembles arise from variations in rainfall timing and wind strength, which traders weigh against historical September minima around 20 °C. The tightly bunched market odds reflect this narrow but uncertain band, with resolution hinging on official station readings during the coolest pre-dawn hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions