Short-term meteorological model runs from agencies including the South African Weather Service show a tight spread in projected maximum temperatures for Cape Town on September 8, keeping market-implied odds clustered between 26 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which can steer warmer continental air offshore via berg winds, versus stronger onshore flow that moderates readings with cooler marine air. Sea-surface temperature anomalies and boundary-layer moisture also influence daytime heating rates. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can alter peak values by 2–3 °C. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日開普敦最高溫度？
9月8日開普敦最高溫度？
28°C 19%
27°C 17%
29°C 14%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
23°C或以下
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
14%
27°C
17%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C或以上
1%
28°C 19%
27°C 17%
29°C 14%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
23°C或以下
$4 交易量
12%
24°C
$86 交易量
5%
25°C
$20 交易量
10%
26°C
$61 交易量
14%
27°C
$76 交易量
17%
28°C
$8 交易量
19%
29°C
$206 交易量
14%
30°C
$30 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
10%
32°C
$0 交易量
3%
33°C或以上
$115 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological model runs from agencies including the South African Weather Service show a tight spread in projected maximum temperatures for Cape Town on September 8, keeping market-implied odds clustered between 26 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which can steer warmer continental air offshore via berg winds, versus stronger onshore flow that moderates readings with cooler marine air. Sea-surface temperature anomalies and boundary-layer moisture also influence daytime heating rates. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can alter peak values by 2–3 °C. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$607結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological model runs from agencies including the South African Weather Service show a tight spread in projected maximum temperatures for Cape Town on September 8, keeping market-implied odds clustered between 26 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which can steer warmer continental air offshore via berg winds, versus stronger onshore flow that moderates readings with cooler marine air. Sea-surface temperature anomalies and boundary-layer moisture also influence daytime heating rates. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can alter peak values by 2–3 °C. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$607結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETShort-term meteorological model runs from agencies including the South African Weather Service show a tight spread in projected maximum temperatures for Cape Town on September 8, keeping market-implied odds clustered between 26 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which can steer warmer continental air offshore via berg winds, versus stronger onshore flow that moderates readings with cooler marine air. Sea-surface temperature anomalies and boundary-layer moisture also influence daytime heating rates. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can alter peak values by 2–3 °C. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions