Recent global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Jeddah’s September 6 maximum near 36–37°C under persistent hot, humid Red Sea coastal conditions with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation. Historical September averages of 35–38°C and current observations around 33–36°C support the tight 36°C (36.5%) versus 37°C (44%) market split, while the modest 38°C (14.5%) probability reflects occasional model runs showing stronger daytime heating or reduced cloud cover. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on local sea-breeze timing, exact boundary-layer mixing, and whether peak readings occur at the airport or urban sites; updated 00z/12z runs and any late-afternoon convective development will refine the final observed high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月6日最高溫度?
37°C 45%
36°C 37%
38°C 13%
35°C 4%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
37%
37°C
45%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C或更高
1%
37°C 45%
36°C 37%
38°C 13%
35°C 4%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
37%
37°C
45%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Jeddah’s September 6 maximum near 36–37°C under persistent hot, humid Red Sea coastal conditions with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation. Historical September averages of 35–38°C and current observations around 33–36°C support the tight 36°C (36.5%) versus 37°C (44%) market split, while the modest 38°C (14.5%) probability reflects occasional model runs showing stronger daytime heating or reduced cloud cover. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on local sea-breeze timing, exact boundary-layer mixing, and whether peak readings occur at the airport or urban sites; updated 00z/12z runs and any late-afternoon convective development will refine the final observed high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions