Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's highest temperature on September 6 will likely reach 24–27°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C and 27°C. A stable high-pressure system is suppressing cloud cover and precipitation while allowing seasonal spring warming, with official South African Weather Service guidance highlighting fine to partly cloudy conditions and fresh but not gale-force coastal winds. Historical September averages near 18–21°C underscore the current anomaly from persistent sunshine and minimal marine influence. Traders are weighting these consensus model runs heavily, as final adjustments from updated runs tomorrow morning could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or onshore flow increases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月6日最高溫度？
開普敦9月6日最高溫度？
26°C 38%
27°C 26%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
38%
27°C
26%
28°C
14%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 26%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$106 交易量
1%
24°C
$431 交易量
4%
25°C
$724 交易量
15%
26°C
$1,812 交易量
38%
27°C
$1,205 交易量
26%
28°C
$1,015 交易量
14%
29°C
$205 交易量
6%
30°C
$7 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$287 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's highest temperature on September 6 will likely reach 24–27°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C and 27°C. A stable high-pressure system is suppressing cloud cover and precipitation while allowing seasonal spring warming, with official South African Weather Service guidance highlighting fine to partly cloudy conditions and fresh but not gale-force coastal winds. Historical September averages near 18–21°C underscore the current anomaly from persistent sunshine and minimal marine influence. Traders are weighting these consensus model runs heavily, as final adjustments from updated runs tomorrow morning could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or onshore flow increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,793結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's highest temperature on September 6 will likely reach 24–27°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C and 27°C. A stable high-pressure system is suppressing cloud cover and precipitation while allowing seasonal spring warming, with official South African Weather Service guidance highlighting fine to partly cloudy conditions and fresh but not gale-force coastal winds. Historical September averages near 18–21°C underscore the current anomaly from persistent sunshine and minimal marine influence. Traders are weighting these consensus model runs heavily, as final adjustments from updated runs tomorrow morning could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or onshore flow increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,793結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's highest temperature on September 6 will likely reach 24–27°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 26°C and 27°C. A stable high-pressure system is suppressing cloud cover and precipitation while allowing seasonal spring warming, with official South African Weather Service guidance highlighting fine to partly cloudy conditions and fresh but not gale-force coastal winds. Historical September averages near 18–21°C underscore the current anomaly from persistent sunshine and minimal marine influence. Traders are weighting these consensus model runs heavily, as final adjustments from updated runs tomorrow morning could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or onshore flow increases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions