Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure and light northeasterly winds over Buenos Aires on September 10, supporting daytime maximum temperatures near 18–20 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. These conditions, typical for early spring in the region with climatological September averages around 19 °C, align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes. Limited model spread and absence of strong frontal systems or significant cloud cover reduce the probability of extremes above 23 °C or below 19 °C. Updated runs available later today from regional and international centers will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
42%
22°C
26%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C或以上
2%
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C 12%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
42%
22°C
26%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure and light northeasterly winds over Buenos Aires on September 10, supporting daytime maximum temperatures near 18–20 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. These conditions, typical for early spring in the region with climatological September averages around 19 °C, align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes. Limited model spread and absence of strong frontal systems or significant cloud cover reduce the probability of extremes above 23 °C or below 19 °C. Updated runs available later today from regional and international centers will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions