Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms in Miami are limiting overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the daily minimum near the seasonal average of 77°F. Forecaster consensus from NOAA and local models points to upper 70s as the most probable range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 76–81°F reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could allow marginally more or less cooling. Urban heat island effects and warm Atlantic waters further suppress drops below 75°F, while any early clearing tonight could nudge readings toward 80°F. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月12日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 43%
74-75°F 14%
82-83°F 6%
73°F或以下 <1%
$4,288 交易量
$4,288 交易量
2026-09-12
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
36%
78-79華氏度
37%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
6%
84-85華氏度
<1%
86-87華氏度
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或以上
<1%
80-81°F 43%
74-75°F 14%
82-83°F 6%
73°F或以下 <1%
$4,288 交易量
$4,288 交易量
2026-09-12
73°F或以下
$418 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$91 交易量
14%
76-77°F
$1,042 交易量
36%
78-79華氏度
$362 交易量
37%
80-81°F
$619 交易量
34%
82-83°F
$127 交易量
6%
84-85華氏度
$30 交易量
<1%
86-87華氏度
$633 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$822 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$72 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或以上
$72 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms in Miami are limiting overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the daily minimum near the seasonal average of 77°F. Forecaster consensus from NOAA and local models points to upper 70s as the most probable range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 76–81°F reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could allow marginally more or less cooling. Urban heat island effects and warm Atlantic waters further suppress drops below 75°F, while any early clearing tonight could nudge readings toward 80°F. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,288結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms in Miami are limiting overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the daily minimum near the seasonal average of 77°F. Forecaster consensus from NOAA and local models points to upper 70s as the most probable range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 76–81°F reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could allow marginally more or less cooling. Urban heat island effects and warm Atlantic waters further suppress drops below 75°F, while any early clearing tonight could nudge readings toward 80°F. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,288結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETPersistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms in Miami are limiting overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the daily minimum near the seasonal average of 77°F. Forecaster consensus from NOAA and local models points to upper 70s as the most probable range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 76–81°F reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity that could allow marginally more or less cooling. Urban heat island effects and warm Atlantic waters further suppress drops below 75°F, while any early clearing tonight could nudge readings toward 80°F. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions