Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight genuine uncertainty for London's September 4 maximum, with model spreads centering on 22–24 °C amid a transition to westerly flow and scattered showers. Southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting peaks compared to the warmer Thursday outlook of 26–27 °C, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Historical early-September baselines for London average near 20 °C, providing context for the current elevated but unsettled pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 22–23 °C align with this model consensus and the narrow resolution window, though updated runs or observed conditions on the day could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月4日倫敦的最高溫度？
23°C 36%
22°C 33%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
33%
23°C
36%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
2%
23°C 36%
22°C 33%
21°C 15%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
17°C或以下
$80 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
3%
20°C
$75 交易量
4%
21°C
$86 交易量
15%
22°C
$237 交易量
33%
23°C
$210 交易量
36%
24°C
$125 交易量
14%
25°C
$80 交易量
4%
26°C
$84 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight genuine uncertainty for London's September 4 maximum, with model spreads centering on 22–24 °C amid a transition to westerly flow and scattered showers. Southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting peaks compared to the warmer Thursday outlook of 26–27 °C, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Historical early-September baselines for London average near 20 °C, providing context for the current elevated but unsettled pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 22–23 °C align with this model consensus and the narrow resolution window, though updated runs or observed conditions on the day could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$983結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight genuine uncertainty for London's September 4 maximum, with model spreads centering on 22–24 °C amid a transition to westerly flow and scattered showers. Southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting peaks compared to the warmer Thursday outlook of 26–27 °C, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Historical early-September baselines for London average near 20 °C, providing context for the current elevated but unsettled pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 22–23 °C align with this model consensus and the narrow resolution window, though updated runs or observed conditions on the day could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$983結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF highlight genuine uncertainty for London's September 4 maximum, with model spreads centering on 22–24 °C amid a transition to westerly flow and scattered showers. Southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting peaks compared to the warmer Thursday outlook of 26–27 °C, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Historical early-September baselines for London average near 20 °C, providing context for the current elevated but unsettled pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 22–23 °C align with this model consensus and the narrow resolution window, though updated runs or observed conditions on the day could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions