**Trader sentiment for London's September 4 minimum temperature centers on incoming westerly flow and associated cloud/rain timing after a warm September 3.** Official Met Office guidance and model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in forecasts) indicate a frontal passage bringing patchy drizzle and overcast skies early on the 4th, followed by partial clearing and fresher westerly winds. This setup favors overnight lows near 13–17 °C (roughly 55–63 °F), with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates once clouds break and on whether dew-point suppression or light winds allow deeper surface cooling. Slightly lower outcomes (16 °C) gain support from faster clearing scenarios and stronger winds mixing cooler air, while 17–18 °C reflects persistent cloud cover or higher dew points limiting temperature drops. Historical early-September climatology for London shows typical minima around 12–15 °C, so current trader weighting toward the upper end of that range aligns with the milder maritime air mass and limited model spread in the 24–48 hour window. Updated Met Office and NOAA briefings on the 4th will likely refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月4日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 44%
18°C 35%
16°C 22%
15°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
22%
17°C
44%
18°C
35%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 44%
18°C 35%
16°C 22%
15°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$30 交易量
1%
13°C
$53 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$43 交易量
7%
16°C
$266 交易量
22%
17°C
$388 交易量
44%
18°C
$728 交易量
35%
19°C
$211 交易量
4%
20°C
$196 交易量
1%
21°C
$136 交易量
1%
22°C或以上
$61 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's September 4 minimum temperature centers on incoming westerly flow and associated cloud/rain timing after a warm September 3.** Official Met Office guidance and model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in forecasts) indicate a frontal passage bringing patchy drizzle and overcast skies early on the 4th, followed by partial clearing and fresher westerly winds. This setup favors overnight lows near 13–17 °C (roughly 55–63 °F), with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates once clouds break and on whether dew-point suppression or light winds allow deeper surface cooling.
Slightly lower outcomes (16 °C) gain support from faster clearing scenarios and stronger winds mixing cooler air, while 17–18 °C reflects persistent cloud cover or higher dew points limiting temperature drops. Historical early-September climatology for London shows typical minima around 12–15 °C, so current trader weighting toward the upper end of that range aligns with the milder maritime air mass and limited model spread in the 24–48 hour window. Updated Met Office and NOAA briefings on the 4th will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,112結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for London's September 4 minimum temperature centers on incoming westerly flow and associated cloud/rain timing after a warm September 3.** Official Met Office guidance and model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in forecasts) indicate a frontal passage bringing patchy drizzle and overcast skies early on the 4th, followed by partial clearing and fresher westerly winds. This setup favors overnight lows near 13–17 °C (roughly 55–63 °F), with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates once clouds break and on whether dew-point suppression or light winds allow deeper surface cooling.
Slightly lower outcomes (16 °C) gain support from faster clearing scenarios and stronger winds mixing cooler air, while 17–18 °C reflects persistent cloud cover or higher dew points limiting temperature drops. Historical early-September climatology for London shows typical minima around 12–15 °C, so current trader weighting toward the upper end of that range aligns with the milder maritime air mass and limited model spread in the 24–48 hour window. Updated Met Office and NOAA briefings on the 4th will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,112結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader sentiment for London's September 4 minimum temperature centers on incoming westerly flow and associated cloud/rain timing after a warm September 3.** Official Met Office guidance and model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in forecasts) indicate a frontal passage bringing patchy drizzle and overcast skies early on the 4th, followed by partial clearing and fresher westerly winds. This setup favors overnight lows near 13–17 °C (roughly 55–63 °F), with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates once clouds break and on whether dew-point suppression or light winds allow deeper surface cooling. Slightly lower outcomes (16 °C) gain support from faster clearing scenarios and stronger winds mixing cooler air, while 17–18 °C reflects persistent cloud cover or higher dew points limiting temperature drops. Historical early-September climatology for London shows typical minima around 12–15 °C, so current trader weighting toward the upper end of that range aligns with the milder maritime air mass and limited model spread in the 24–48 hour window. Updated Met Office and NOAA briefings on the 4th will likely refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions