Recent forecast models from the Met Office and GFS data indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.4°C for the date and current observations showing temperatures stabilizing around 13–15°C through the night. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong model consensus on these conditions. A realistic shift below 13°C would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than projected, while warmer readings could occur only with unexpected cloud cover or delayed cooling. Final official readings from stations like Heathrow will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日倫敦的最低溫度?
13°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,833 交易量
$9,833 交易量
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
13°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,833 交易量
$9,833 交易量
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast models from the Met Office and GFS data indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.4°C for the date and current observations showing temperatures stabilizing around 13–15°C through the night. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong model consensus on these conditions. A realistic shift below 13°C would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than projected, while warmer readings could occur only with unexpected cloud cover or delayed cooling. Final official readings from stations like Heathrow will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions