**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月3日倫敦的最低溫度？
19°C 99.5%
18°C 1.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$8,668 交易量
$8,668 交易量
2026-09-03
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
19°C 99.5%
18°C 1.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$8,668 交易量
$8,668 交易量
2026-09-03
13°C或以下
$70 交易量
否
14°C
$70 交易量
否
15°C
$171 交易量
否
16°C
$131 交易量
否
17°C
$1,602 交易量
否
18°C
$2,302 交易量
否
19°C
$2,143 交易量
是
20°C
$1,911 交易量
否
21°C
$165 交易量
否
22°C
$50 交易量
否
23°C或以上
$50 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,668結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,668結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 19°C low in London on September 3, 2026, at 95.5%.** Multiple official forecasts, including the Met Office, project an overnight minimum of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 15–20 km/h and high humidity near 80%. This aligns with current observations around 23°C in the evening and typical early-September conditions, where clear spells allow radiational cooling to moderate levels without dropping sharply. Model consensus supports this range, with limited divergence expected before resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-forecast cloud cover or lighter winds trapping additional heat, potentially pushing the low above 19°C, while unexpected clearer skies or a wind shift might allow a dip toward 17°C. Traders are weighting the central forecast heavily given the short time remaining to the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions