Current forecasts from GFS-based models and European guidance show a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, 2026, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime heating to a maximum near 24–26 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.5 °C. Model runs through early September 1 converge on afternoon peaks around 25 °C at Paris-area stations, with limited spread in ensemble guidance. The market-implied probabilities—led by 25 °C at 49.5 %—reflect this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C and 26 °C outcomes, consistent with typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C at this lead time. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日巴黎最高溫度？
9月2日巴黎最高溫度？
25°C 50%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
最新
$16,995 交易量
最新
$16,995 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
最新
$16,995 交易量
最新
$16,995 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
$420 交易量
<1%
21°C
$204 交易量
<1%
22°C
$596 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,054 交易量
6%
24°C
$5,002 交易量
26%
25°C
$2,878 交易量
50%
26°C
$2,034 交易量
16%
27°C
$1,452 交易量
3%
28°C
$232 交易量
<1%
29°C
$931 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS-based models and European guidance show a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, 2026, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime heating to a maximum near 24–26 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.5 °C. Model runs through early September 1 converge on afternoon peaks around 25 °C at Paris-area stations, with limited spread in ensemble guidance. The market-implied probabilities—led by 25 °C at 49.5 %—reflect this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C and 26 °C outcomes, consistent with typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C at this lead time. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$16,995結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS-based models and European guidance show a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, 2026, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime heating to a maximum near 24–26 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.5 °C. Model runs through early September 1 converge on afternoon peaks around 25 °C at Paris-area stations, with limited spread in ensemble guidance. The market-implied probabilities—led by 25 °C at 49.5 %—reflect this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C and 26 °C outcomes, consistent with typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C at this lead time. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,995結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecasts from GFS-based models and European guidance show a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, 2026, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports daytime heating to a maximum near 24–26 °C, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 23.5 °C. Model runs through early September 1 converge on afternoon peaks around 25 °C at Paris-area stations, with limited spread in ensemble guidance. The market-implied probabilities—led by 25 °C at 49.5 %—reflect this consensus while assigning meaningful weight to 24 °C and 26 °C outcomes, consistent with typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C at this lead time. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions