**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on September 2 centers on 13°C (36%) and 14°C (30%), with 12°C (18%) and 15°C (16.5%) close behind, reflecting tight clustering around the historical average low of 13.1°C.** Current forecasts from models such as GFS show overnight minima in the 14–16°C range under stable high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa), light northerly to westerly winds (1–4 m/s), and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate radiative cooling. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after sunset, especially with dew points near 12–13°C supporting clear-sky potential in clearer pockets. Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from model variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds—factors that can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours and no major synoptic changes expected, the market-implied odds capture genuine forecast uncertainty around the typical early-September nocturnal cooling rate rather than any abrupt shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日巴黎最低溫度？
9月2日巴黎最低溫度？
13°C 36%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
10°C或以下
11%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
29%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C或以上
1%
13°C 36%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
11%
11°C
$0 交易量
9%
12°C
$20 交易量
9%
13°C
$118 交易量
36%
14°C
$218 交易量
30%
15°C
$3 交易量
31%
16°C
$20 交易量
29%
17°C
$0 交易量
6%
18°C
$45 交易量
5%
19°C
$45 交易量
1%
20°C或以上
$66 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on September 2 centers on 13°C (36%) and 14°C (30%), with 12°C (18%) and 15°C (16.5%) close behind, reflecting tight clustering around the historical average low of 13.1°C.**
Current forecasts from models such as GFS show overnight minima in the 14–16°C range under stable high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa), light northerly to westerly winds (1–4 m/s), and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate radiative cooling. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after sunset, especially with dew points near 12–13°C supporting clear-sky potential in clearer pockets.
Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from model variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds—factors that can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours and no major synoptic changes expected, the market-implied odds capture genuine forecast uncertainty around the typical early-September nocturnal cooling rate rather than any abrupt shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$536結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on September 2 centers on 13°C (36%) and 14°C (30%), with 12°C (18%) and 15°C (16.5%) close behind, reflecting tight clustering around the historical average low of 13.1°C.**
Current forecasts from models such as GFS show overnight minima in the 14–16°C range under stable high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa), light northerly to westerly winds (1–4 m/s), and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate radiative cooling. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after sunset, especially with dew points near 12–13°C supporting clear-sky potential in clearer pockets.
Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from model variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds—factors that can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours and no major synoptic changes expected, the market-implied odds capture genuine forecast uncertainty around the typical early-September nocturnal cooling rate rather than any abrupt shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$536結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Paris on September 2 centers on 13°C (36%) and 14°C (30%), with 12°C (18%) and 15°C (16.5%) close behind, reflecting tight clustering around the historical average low of 13.1°C.** Current forecasts from models such as GFS show overnight minima in the 14–16°C range under stable high pressure (around 1022–1023 hPa), light northerly to westerly winds (1–4 m/s), and partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate radiative cooling. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after sunset, especially with dew points near 12–13°C supporting clear-sky potential in clearer pockets. Slight differences among leading outcomes arise from model variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds—factors that can shift the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours and no major synoptic changes expected, the market-implied odds capture genuine forecast uncertainty around the typical early-September nocturnal cooling rate rather than any abrupt shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions