Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for Denver on September 6 projects a daily low near 63–64°F amid scattered thunderstorms, with highs around 91°F. This places the most likely minimum in the 62–65°F range, where trader probabilities cluster tightly, reflecting modest forecast spread from variations in overnight cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and any associated outflow boundaries. Persistent warm advection and above-normal dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s, limiting rapid radiational cooling despite the early-September date. Ensemble uncertainty widens the tails, supporting the 34.5% probability assigned to 57°F or below if stronger convection develops, while drier scenarios could hold the low above 66°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日丹佛的最低溫度?
華氏57度或以下 69%
76°F或更高 59%
58-59°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
華氏57度或以下
69%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
32%
64-65華氏度
30%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73華氏度
19%
74-75°F
8%
76°F或更高
59%
華氏57度或以下 69%
76°F或更高 59%
58-59°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
華氏57度或以下
69%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
32%
64-65華氏度
30%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73華氏度
19%
74-75°F
8%
76°F或更高
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for Denver on September 6 projects a daily low near 63–64°F amid scattered thunderstorms, with highs around 91°F. This places the most likely minimum in the 62–65°F range, where trader probabilities cluster tightly, reflecting modest forecast spread from variations in overnight cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, and any associated outflow boundaries. Persistent warm advection and above-normal dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s, limiting rapid radiational cooling despite the early-September date. Ensemble uncertainty widens the tails, supporting the 34.5% probability assigned to 57°F or below if stronger convection develops, while drier scenarios could hold the low above 66°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions