Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area will reach 22°C overnight on September 3, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure that limited radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with real-time station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold amid typical early-September conditions, where average lows hover around 20–22°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment of measurements and short-term models. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final verification, though such changes appear unlikely at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月3日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$15,921 交易量
$15,921 交易量
2026-09-03
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$15,921 交易量
$15,921 交易量
2026-09-03
15°C或以下
$316 交易量
否
16°C
$316 交易量
否
17°C
$753 交易量
否
18°C
$1,069 交易量
否
19°C
$652 交易量
否
20°C
$1,822 交易量
否
21°C
$1,386 交易量
否
22°C
$3,072 交易量
是
23°C
$1,874 交易量
否
24°C
$2,535 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$2,126 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area will reach 22°C overnight on September 3, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure that limited radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with real-time station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold amid typical early-September conditions, where average lows hover around 20–22°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment of measurements and short-term models. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final verification, though such changes appear unlikely at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$15,921結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area will reach 22°C overnight on September 3, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure that limited radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with real-time station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold amid typical early-September conditions, where average lows hover around 20–22°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment of measurements and short-term models. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final verification, though such changes appear unlikely at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,921結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area will reach 22°C overnight on September 3, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure that limited radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with real-time station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold amid typical early-September conditions, where average lows hover around 20–22°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment of measurements and short-term models. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final verification, though such changes appear unlikely at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions