Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 6, reflecting a stable warm air mass under light southerly flow and minimal nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 74-77°F bins, where implied probabilities cluster tightly amid typical late-summer humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Historical September averages near 71°F highlight the current anomaly, while slight afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce minor forecast spread without shifting the minimum substantially lower. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution as the 24-hour window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
9月6日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
86°F或以上 63%
80-81°F 49%
74-75°F 35%
76-77°F 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86°F或以上
63%
86°F或以上 63%
80-81°F 49%
74-75°F 35%
76-77°F 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
67°F或以下
$0 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
8%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
26%
72-73°F
$2 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
35%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
30%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
25%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
49%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
19%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
19%
86°F或以上
$0 交易量
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 6, reflecting a stable warm air mass under light southerly flow and minimal nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 74-77°F bins, where implied probabilities cluster tightly amid typical late-summer humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Historical September averages near 71°F highlight the current anomaly, while slight afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce minor forecast spread without shifting the minimum substantially lower. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$2結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 6, reflecting a stable warm air mass under light southerly flow and minimal nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 74-77°F bins, where implied probabilities cluster tightly amid typical late-summer humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Historical September averages near 71°F highlight the current anomaly, while slight afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce minor forecast spread without shifting the minimum substantially lower. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 6, reflecting a stable warm air mass under light southerly flow and minimal nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 74-77°F bins, where implied probabilities cluster tightly amid typical late-summer humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Historical September averages near 71°F highlight the current anomaly, while slight afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce minor forecast spread without shifting the minimum substantially lower. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution as the 24-hour window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions