Current short-range forecasts from models such as GFS point to clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a daytime high near 36°C for Madrid on September 7 under a stable high-pressure pattern. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of 28.5°C yet remains below the all-time record of 38.5°C set in 2016. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around the upper-30s Celsius range while leaving room for minor adjustments from the final 48-hour updates issued by agencies including AEMET.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日馬德裏氣溫最高?
37°C 46%
38°C 42%
39°C 35%
35°C 17%
34°C或以下
2%
35°C
17%
36°C
11%
37°C
46%
38°C
42%
39°C
35%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
2%
43°C
2%
44°C或更高
2%
37°C 46%
38°C 42%
39°C 35%
35°C 17%
34°C或以下
2%
35°C
17%
36°C
11%
37°C
46%
38°C
42%
39°C
35%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
2%
43°C
2%
44°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from models such as GFS point to clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a daytime high near 36°C for Madrid on September 7 under a stable high-pressure pattern. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of 28.5°C yet remains below the all-time record of 38.5°C set in 2016. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around the upper-30s Celsius range while leaving room for minor adjustments from the final 48-hour updates issued by agencies including AEMET.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions